Saturday marks the end of an era for the Wankdorf League: our 12th member and my esteemed co-author Teddy, is getting married to a lovely and beautiful girl, meaning there are no more single members. This also means that they will be cavorting in the Southern Hemisphere until late April (by when the Orioles will be 10 games out), and I'm taking the opportunity to take a week off. So expect little content until 4/7 or so. And congrats to Teddy!
Thursday, March 27, 2008
Vacation
Saturday marks the end of an era for the Wankdorf League: our 12th member and my esteemed co-author Teddy, is getting married to a lovely and beautiful girl, meaning there are no more single members. This also means that they will be cavorting in the Southern Hemisphere until late April (by when the Orioles will be 10 games out), and I'm taking the opportunity to take a week off. So expect little content until 4/7 or so. And congrats to Teddy!
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
The 2008 San Florida Nationals
- The Marlins have absolutely no pitching of note, and traded away one of the 5 best players in baseball for the hope that they can have a competitive nucleus together in time for Ralph Nader's 2016 presidential run.
- The Nationals have no players of note with the exception of a potential stud third baseman and a stockpile of outfielders that range from injury prone to intriguing to just plain nuts.
- The Giants have one of the neater pitching staffs in baseball, and a lineup that's ancient and crappy.
C: Bengie Molina, Paul Lo Duca
1B: Dmitri Young, Mike Jacobs
2B: Dan Uggla, Ray Durham
SS: Hanley Ramirez, Felipe Lopez
3B: Ryan Zimmerman
OF: Aaron Rowand, Jeremy Hermida, Josh Willingham, Lastings Milledge, Austin Kearns
SP: Matt Cain, Tim Lincecum, Scott Olsen, Noah Lowry, Barry Zito
RP: Chad Cordero, Brian Wilson, Kevin Greggggg, Jonathan Sanchez, Tyler Walker, Jon Rauch
How would this team do? Well, it's a decent staff with nice upside, and a solid enough bullpen. The lineup's pretty okay 1-9 with a fair bench, but there's no star power besides Hanley, and it lacks a big bopper. In other words, it would be competitive in the NL, but it's tough to place this squad above the Mets or Diamondbacks.
Which is pretty pathetic. You would think if had a choice of 75 major-league players, you could form a pretty damn good team. The problem, of course, is that the Nats, Marlins and Giants have combined about 40 major league players and 35 guys who should be in AAA or changing oil. Bad for them. Good for the rest of the league.
Thursday, March 20, 2008
NCAA Tournament Pre-Blog
We admit to being slightly baffled by this phenomenon, partly because the Grey Lady is somehow involved, but mostly because every NCAA first round is exactly the same. They might feel different because your office pool picks do better or worse than usual, but both the substantive outcomes of the games and the coverage of those games are, taken as a whole, the same every year.
So, live-blogging is both slightly passe and not particularly useful. Since we here at the GRBG always keep our eyes on the future, we've decided to up the ante by pre-live-blogging the first session of this year's dance. This approach promises to provide information every bit as useful and timely as the live blogs, with the added bonus of giving everyone a way to waste time at work a day early. Without further adieu:
Noon: A montage of: (1) Rollie Massimino being hugged; (2) Jim Valvano trying and failing to find someone to hug; (3) Bryce Drew hitting a hook-and-lateral three; (4) some coach getting hugged from behind while kicking his legs in the air; and (5) last year's champions cutting down the nets leads into the pre-game show. During the show, Greg Gumbel mentions that this season's tournament is one of the most wide-open in years, and Clark Kellogg stares into the wrong camera while saying the words "shoot," "spurt," "length," and "inside" in quick succession without drawing an FCC fine.
12:30 p.m.: The first set of games (Xavier-Georgia, Portland State-Kansas, and Temple-Michigan State) tip off. Live bloggers note that there is only one good team, and probably zero good matchups, in this set. Gumbel demurs, calling the upcoming slate of games "intriguing."
12:40 p.m.: In an attempt to counteract Kansas's superior quickness, Portland State comes out in a base 2-3 zone, though one that incorporates matchup principles on pick-and-roll switches. Over the sound of ice cubes clinking in a glass of Tullamore Dew, Bill Raftery proclaims that Portland State has come out "inamanaman!"
1:05 p.m.: Xavier lead over Georgia is 8. Tally of announcer mentions of the tornado in Atlanta during the SEC tournament is 5.
1:20 p.m.: The first field goal is made in the Michigan State-Temple game.
1:30 p.m.: CBS cameraman comes through with a three-second upskirt shot of a Georgia cheerleader. New York Times live blogger for the Xavier-Georgia game writes a 350-word paean to said shot. Maureen Dowd asks for and receives equal space for a rebuttal in the op-ed section. Xavier lead over Georgia is 8.
1:35 p.m.: Portland State goes on an 8-0 run. Many adorably scruffy white dudes jump up and down on the Portland bench. Raftery notes that "Pesky Portland is hanging around!" He does not note that the score is still 39-23 Kansas.
1:43 p.m.: A steal and fastbreak dunk by Dionte Christmas gives Temple an 8-7 lead over the Spartans with 4:12 to go in the first half. The decibel level of Gus Johnson's call of the dunk causes the overhead scoreboard to begin swaying dangerously, necessitating a 13-minute break in play.
1:47 p.m.: All three games are simultaneously in commercial, with yet another iteration of a Chevy ad with the Mellancamp song being played. Blog commenters across the land note that Bill Simmons is openly weeping.
1:50 p.m.: Halftime, which consists entirely of plugs for the upcoming slate of games and CBS promotional ads which for some reason feature the cast of How I Met Your Mother passing around a basketball.
1:55 p.m.: Kansas comes out to start the second half on a 15-1 run, opening the lead to 61-30. During the PSU timeout, 2000 people note that Bill James has declared this lead 81% safe.
2:02 p.m.: Promo features Jim Nantz smugging on about "A tradition unlike any other.....the Masters, on CBS Sports."
2:10 p.m.: CBS cuts away from Kansas game and goes to Xavier-Georgia game. Xavier lead over Georgia is 8.
2:12 p.m.: Xavier scores 7 consecutive points to increase its lead to 15. CBS cuts away from Xavier game to Michigan State-Temple game. MSU leads 19-15 with five minutes to play.
2:13 p.m.: U.S. gross domestic product surges by 18%, as workers recoil in horror from computer screens giving the play-by-play of the MSU-Temple game and return to their duties. Game announcer Sean McDonough abandons all pretense of promoting the intrinsic excitement of the game, and instead shifts to a tone of broad sarcasm that culminates in his on-air reference to Jay Bilas as "almost certainly the guy who assaulted that stripper at Duke."
2:14 p.m.: Score bug notes that Xavier lead over Georgia is now 8.
2:20 p.m.: Ivy League-educated live blogger notes Temple coach Fran Dunphy used to coach at Penn. Indignant midwestern commenters note that MSU coach Tom Izzo used to coach at Northern Michigan, which probably educates its students every bit as well as those fancy east-coast schools, who anyhow wouldn't know a decent ACT score if it was beer-battered, deep fried, and served to them smothered in grilled onions. Further discussion on the subject is unedifying.
2:24 p.m.: The final buzzer sounds and Kansas is the first team in the second round, with a 96-61 win over Portland State, who dozens of single and attentive bloggers decide have surprisingly attractive cheerleaders. Despite Xavier-Georgia and Temple-MSU both being single digit games with under 5 minutes to go, CBS inexplicably jumps to the tip-off of Marquette-Kentucky, where Dick Enberg is waxing poetic about Patrick Patterson's roommate. Color analyst Bilas fails to inform Enberg that Patterson is out for the tournament with a broken foot.
2:25 p.m.: Every live blogger makes joke about Kansas' victory having busted his bracket.
2:30 p.m.: Thirty-one second-half fouls later, Xavier beats Georgia by 8. CBS cuts back to the studio, where Seth Davis lambastes the existence of conference tournaments and their socialist automatic bids and openly weeps about Illinois State's exclusion from the tourney. Gumbel hastily throws it to commercial, where Pizza Hut is selling yet another fake-cheese laden product to fatten up the western world.
2:37 p.m.: Temple falls to Michigan State 28-26, prompting coaches everywhere to praise the tenacity of the Big Ten and the rest of the world to cringe at the thought of the upcoming Wisconsin game. Meanwhile, Enberg appears to be under the impression that Adolf Rupp is still the coach at Kentucky, while Bilas blatantly ignores him and prattles on about the virtues of the 1-3-1 zone trap.
3:00 p.m.: Back to the studio for the first wrap-up of the day. Kellogg attributes Kansas' win to having "better ath-eh-leets". Gumbel calls the upcoming slate of games "intriguing."
Enjoy the dance everybody, and may all your brackets survive day 1.
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Season Preview: Presidential Timber
The new owner of this franchise gallantly stepped into the breach last season following the abrupt departure of the enigmatic M**e. In doing so, he followed in the proud interim replacement footsteps of Sam Perlozzo, the Hotter Becky from "Roseanne", and, of course, Paul Westerberg of the seminal '80's indie band The Replacements.But the Plesidential Erections have some experience in this league, and aspire to move beyond their replacement status and establish themselves in the top half of the league, despite inheriting a keeper roster bleak enough to cause his predecessor owner to cast himself into the pit of despair. Will he succeed? The answers below, in the form of wisdom gleaned from song titles of the original Replacements themselves.
Infield--"I Bought a Headache" off of Sorry Ma, Forgot to Take Out the Trash
This franchise has been based around Albert Pujols ever since the current owner's first go-round in the league, when he out-fine-printed a league full of lawyers to renew Pujols' contract risk-free. Now, though, Pujols is down to one functional set of elbow tendons, and is playing for a Cardinals team that is unlikely to compete this year. That could well add up to reduced playing time, and possibly early season-ending surgery for Senor Cornholio, which would effectively hamstring this group.
The rest of the infield falls into the solid but unspectacular category, with the Lewinsky Pacifiers hoping that Ricky Weeks stays healthy, JR Towles is for real, Orlando Cabrera doesn't regress too far off of his surprise season of last year, and that Kevin Youkilis avoids another second-half swoon. It seems unlikely that all of those hopes will be realized, and even if they are, there's not enough there to hold down the fort if Pujols goes sideways.
Outfield--"Bastards of Young" off of Tim
The outfield skews consistently young, with no players over 30, and most of them either hit or act like bastards. Matt Holliday anchors the squad, giving the team a 4+ category stud to build off of. New addition Curtis Granderson adds speed and even more power, and should score a ton of runs hitting at the top of a loaded Detroit lineup this year. Aaron Rowand is pencilled in as the third OF, but will likely soon lose playing time to budding star and certified jerkface Lastings Milledge. If Milledge comes through, this is likely to be one of the strongest OFs in the league this season.
Starting Pitching--"You Lose" off of Hootenany
Let's start with the positives: Roy Hallday was the steal of this year's draft, and also neatly addresses the owner's Blue Jay fetish, and Tim Hudson and Jered Weaver have each been effective one (and only one) of the past two seasons. Off to a good start!
But then we have to move on to the negatives: Brian Bannister was the luckiest pitcher in baseball last year, and is unlikely to sustain his results given his poor peripherals and freakishly low BABIP last season. Josh Johnson is coming off of a broken face last year. And Shaun Marcum sucks and rather less neatly addresses the owner's Blue Jay fetish. Plus. there's nobody behind these guys, meaning that the team is going to have to be pretty active on the waiver wire to fill out an effective staff. Much work to be done here.
Bullpen--"Gary's Got a Boner" off of Let It Be
Hi, I'm Gary.
In Huston Street, Brad Lidge, BJ Ryan and Jose Valverde, this team is one of the few that can claim to have saves in depth without having sacrificed their staff's combined ERA and WHIP to get them. While most teams attempting a 'pen-first strategy have fared poorly in this league--look no further than the ill-fated M**e for proof of that--some, like last year's champions, have had some success. At the very least, the stable of steady closers should provide the team with some useful trading chits down the stretch, which might prove valuable with Pujols starting to get more expensive in the very near future.
Prognosis--"Color Me Impressed" off of Hootenany
This team is better than it has any real right to be given the mismanagement of the past few years. Still, there are too many questions in the infield and the rotation for them to make a run this year. We see them climbing back to respectability, but ultimately having to focus on '09.
Season Preview 2008: Le Dupont Torkies
We turn our delightful gaze now towards the 2006 champion Le Dupont Torkies, a squad whose success on the virtual diamond is only exceeded by their owner's hilarious indignation at the idiocracy of others. If you think Teddy and I are brutal, you have never seen the Wrath of Tucker post a hideous trade. It's a combination of humor, honesty and history. In other words, he's Ben Franklin, minus the pot belly and unrepeatable foibles.What comes with the rampant (and usually merited) criticism is the unassailable fact that this has been the best team and owner in the league's 6-year history. Since changing their name from Toilet Phace to its current iteration, they have yet to finish out of the money and have a pair of league titles, and the owner will still argue that he should have won in 2003 but for the innings limit rule. What's made this even more impressive is that the league's level of difficulty has increased, what with the expulsion of 3-4 owners who didn't know their asses from the elbows and the addition of stalwarts Darrin, Scot and Alex, all of whom have a title to their credit. This team, unlike the Yankees, Rangers and Mariners, is proof that you can win with A-Rod.
Sadly for the Torkies (though not the balance of the league), 2008 represents a fulcrum year for the squad, as A-Rod next year becomes a 4-slot keeper under the new rules, and it's hard to see how they'll be able to keep him plus additionally expensive players like Chase Utley, Joe Mauer and Chone Figgins. So while it's not quite an end of an era season for this team, the immediacy of the pending availability of those players will make him, by necessity, an active trader throughout the year, be it as a buyer or seller.2007 Recap: The 2006 Champs burst out to an epic lead by Memorial Day, amassing a 15+ point lead by June 1st. In keeping with league history, the lead fizzled by the All-Star game and they were caught by It's Enrico Pallazzo by August, who ran away with the title. This is the third time we've had a team open a huge lead in May (me in '03, Alex in '04) to watch it disappear by mid-summer. Let's call this the Terry Leach Phenomenon, named after a perennial quick starter that lapsed into craptitude every August.
Infield: Joe Mauer, James Loney, Chase Utley, Alex Rodriguez, Mike Young. When you start out with one MVP (A-Rod) and one shoulda been MVP (Utley), you can run mediocrities in the other 3 slots and be okay. Which they haven't done--Young is underrated and a nice bounceback candidate; Mauer's a catching stud; and Loney has Breakout Star written all over him, so long as Torre doesn't bench him for Nomar. Here's the best IF in the league, folks.
Outfield: Magglio Ordonez, Bobby Abreu, Manny Ramirez, Chone Figgins. An interesting vet collection that's high OBP, could slug 100 homers, and is probably good for 50 steals. Let's call this an "asset", though I'll note that Magglio is prime to bounce off last year and nobody likes Manny this year, meaning he'll hit 45 home runsBench: None. Well, that was easy. This squad always goes light on offense, and Figgins can play supersub, but I have to believe they'll be dropping a fizzled starter for something like Nate McLouth come May. Speaking of which...
Starters: Clay Buchholz, Adam Wainwright, Ubaldo Jimenez, Tom Gorzelanny, Franklin Morales, Scott Baker, Boof!, Scott Olsen. Now that's a lot of young pitching. This seemingly inscrutable nontet can be divided into young Rockies, young Twins, druggies, guys from bad NL Central teams and Buchholz. The hedges are all over the place here--the Rockies guys should get W's but kill the rate stats; the Twins and NL Central guys may win a combined 30 games but strike out 1000 hitters, and Buchholz may spend significant PT in Rhode Island. This staff makes Jake's look secure. However, the owner's bold enough to act on the waiver wire with vigor, so I suspect we'll see some new faces come July.
Relievers: Jon Papelbon, Trevor Hoffman, Brandon Lyon, Jon Broxton, Heath Bell, Brian Fuentes. It's a mixed bag of closers here, with a young guy on a good team (Paps), a fair guy on a good team (Lyon), and an old guy on a fair team (Hoffman). The sad part is that Broxton's (left) the 2nd best pitcher here and he'll be of minimal value barring injury.Breakout Star: James Loney will make me regret dumping him in favor of Matt Garza. Bank on it.
Bust Potential: Bobby Abreu does get the benefit of being on the Yanks for his counting stats, but I don't like his OBP and HRs to stay up.
X Factor: I can't pick just one from that staff can I? Actually yes--Adam Wainwright may be an ace in the making, and if he doesn't show signs of injury after tripling his workload last year, he could be the ace the team needs. He could also be on Dr. Frank Jobe's ER table in May.
Prediction: This offense is too good not to get the team 45+ points on the half of the ledger, but there's an abundance of reliance on lottery ticket pitchers and surprisingly little in the way off good trade bait. It's stupid to count out an owner that's finished worse than 4th exactly once, but this team needs a lot of arm help, and barring that, is going to struggle to compete for the top spot.
Monday, March 17, 2008
Season Preview 2008: Wu Tang Financial
Leading off my quartet of previews is something we haven't seen before: a resuscitated name in Wu Tang Financial. Now, we've had a bunch of squads that have had the same name year after year (Evil Empire, The Spam Avengers, Le Dupont Torkies, to name three). We've had folks like myself, Teddy, Andy and Scot who cycle in a fresh name every year. We had M**e, who stubbornly refused to actually name his team, and has rightly been banished to the Duke Snider penitentiary. And we have Ironhead, who changes his name every lunar cycle, yet somehow keeps it consistent by failing to ever note that his keyboard has a shift button.But Jon's the first guy to hit the way-back machine for his team name, which is good from the perspective that naming your team after Phil Mickelson or James Garfield is pretty moronic. At the same time, it's not like he's channeling some great wins from the past by dredging up the old nom de plume; it's one thing if Jake wanted to bring back whatever his team name in 2002 was, but revamping a failure? An interesting gambit.
Which brings us to his roster, which in and of itself is an interesting gambit. For the third straight year, WTF has assembled a team of hard throwing starters and burly hitters that pound the ball a lot, but can't run for shit. In short, he's put together the Nintendo Ice Hockey team with 5 fat guys. How does that play out in rotisserie baseball?2007 Summary: A decent-if-boring 8th place finish for the Bloated Southpaws was made possible from a year of a ton of home runs and wins. The downfall between them and true contention was the fact that only three guys accumulated saves for their entire roster (one of which, Joel Zumaya, had exactly One Save), and a total lack of any footspeed, keeping their R's and SB's in check. This is what happens when you load up on blubbery guys who hit the ball a long way.
Infield: Kenji Johjima, Prince Fielder, B.J. Upton, Troy Tulowitzki, Edwin Encarnacion. Youth is well-served here, with the exception of Johjima, who's probably the definition of Replacement Level Catcher. What I like here is that all of the infielders help a different statistic: Fielder's a power stud, Upton's perfect for steals and run, Encarnacion is nice with RBI's, and Tulowitzki should be solid for OBP. Presuming that there isn't much of a regression from last year's nice seasons for the non-Edwin portions of the infield, this is a nice productive group.
Outfield: Rick Ankiel, Fat Squirrel, Lance Berkman, Jay Bruce. A useful collection of outfielders that's no worse than good at any position, as even I've come around on the virtues of the Burrell. If Ankiel develops, this is a pretty nice collection of men patrolling the green, albeit 4 guys with absolutely no speed whatsoever.Bench: Rafael Furcal, Kelly Johnson, Coco Crisp, Mark Reynolds. Furcal and Johnson are nice backups at positions where the squad's got guys who both injury prone and prime candidates to revert to the mean, so they're a sensible addition. As defense is not a category, I cannot fathom what the hell Coco Crisp is doing here, unless they wanted a mascot for kicks.
Starters: Carlos Zambrano, Chris Young, Javier Vazquez, Scott Kazmir, Derek Lowe Face, Zach Greinke, Barry Zito. Stealing Kazmir with the 5th pick of the draft turned the staff from mediocre at the top to very solid all around. Jim Duquette's legacy is a veritable stud, and the pair of Zambrano and Vazquez is a nice combination of good innings, wins and strikeouts. Greinke's a neat breakout candidate, and while I can't say a lot of good things about Lowe, Young and Zito, they're far from the worst candidates to provide a lot of K's and some solid innings. This isn't a top-shelf staff but it's one with a lot of good players at the core.
Relievers: Francisco Rodriguez, Chris Ray, Joakim Soria, Cla Meredith. The team's biggest weakness, but one that can be overcome with either a few key injuries or a good eye over the waiver wire. K-Rod is at least a nice start to getting 40+ saves, and there's a chance Soria wins the Doug Jones Award for the most statistically productive closer on a crappy team, previously held by luminaries like Bobby Thigpen, Bob Wickman, and repeat winner the Late Rod Beck. Have to think some of the depth noted above may need to be traded out for some saves.
Breakout Star: On everyone's list, Jay Bruce is either the #1 or #2 prospect. The ballsy pick of Bruce in the 2nd round indicates the franchise believes, and I can't argue with them. Here's to him breaking out in his rookie year into a Ryan Braun-esque phenom.
Bust Potential: I'll go on the record as skeptical that Chris Young can repeat his All-Star performance of last year. Partly because I think he's overrated and mostly because I think he's now in front of a porous defense and is lacking a good offense to produce, I like him to regress to below the median. Plus, everyone hates Princeton kids.X-Factor: The Cincinnati Reds have jerked around Edwin Encarnacion for three years now, refusing to just give the guy a starting role desipte him having a helluva bat. It would seem that a change of manager would be the perfect remedy for him, right? Wrong. Welcome to Ohio, Dusty Baker, hater of young players and walks. This is a pick that could yield anywhere between 8 and 35 homers.
Prediction: This is a surprisingly solid all-around team without a real weakness to be seen, with the exception being the lack of closers, which is the easiest problem to remedy during the season by trade or by the waiver wire. I'd pencil them in for a mid-pack finish as currently constituted, with a decent amount of potential to move up with a couple of savvy trades.
Season Preview: The Fighting Isaiahs
I will admit that I initially made the error of assuming that this team's name was a reference to current Knick coach/former ABA executioner Isiah Thomas, which would have made for a parade of easy jokes for this preview. Instead, we've learned that the Isaiah in question is the team owner's son, which somewhat circumscribes this article's cheap shot potential. Regardless, we'll soldier on by ignoring both Thomas and the kid, and proceeding in the spirit of the team's namesake prophet.That's fitting, because the real question for this franchise is whether the following nugget of wisdom from Famous Original Zeke will end up telling the tale of its season:
“And Isaiah said, Take a lump of figs. And they took and laid it on the wound, and he recovered.” (2 Kings 20:7)
This team has a lot of talent, but also a lot of recent injury history. If everyone heals quickly, whether by conventional medicine or a more holistic, fig-based approach, the team is a threat for the board. But this is also a squad from which the wheels could come off in a hurry, especially in the rotation.
Infield
This is the steadiest area for the Zekes, as Ian Kinsler, Derek Jeter, and Adrian Beltre are all the sort of players whose ages and/or reputations lead one to believe that they'll manage to pull their cleats on and get out there at last 145 times this season. While durability isn't the sexiest quality in a player (for real-life or fantasy purposes), the durability of these three should let the Angry Prophets focus their transaction attention on the other, riskier areas of the team.
The remainder of the infield, Todd Helton and Jason Varitek, come with known issues. For Helton, the issue is a chronically bad backl for Varitek the issue is that he is a 36 goddamn year-old catcher backed up by the eminently mortal Kevin Cash, whose career batting line (.167/.223/.265) is worryingly comparable to the career batting line of Roger Clemens (.173/.236/.207). Still, both guys provide enough production when healthy to justify their roster slots.
Outfield
This unit is anchored by Grady Sizemore, who provides about as close to a sure thing as you can expect. The other guys are shakier, as Nick Swisher lost 40 points of slugging last year, Hideki Matsui was hurt or ineffective for about half of last season, and Juan Pierre is one good Dodgers management decision away from being a bench player. On the upside, all of the above except Pierre are solid OBP guys, and Pierre would likely be used as an SB-poacher only by this team. So this unit is iffier than the infield, but still infinitely more reliable than the . . .
Starting Pitching
The starting rotation looks like it was assembled by Bear Stearns. I'm all for upside, but the team's four starters behind Brandon Webb threw for only a combined 313 innings last year, and one of the four (Ben Sheets) missed a considerable chunk of time in '06 as well. While there's no denying the upsides of Yovanni Gallardo and Francisco Liriano, one of the two is coming off Tommy John surgery, and the other is all of 22 years old. That's nicely bracketed by the final starter, Randy Johnson, who is both more than twice as old as Gallardo and coming off medical problems like Liriano.
Look, all pitching staffs are inherently risky and subject to pretty wide health and performance variations. But this is bordering on ridiculous. The one thing you have to say, though, is that if all of these guys make it through the season, they should provide fantastic fantasy stats. The potential beta here makes this team one of the hardest to peg for the coming season, and ensures that the team's owner will watch every pitch from the edge of his seat this year.
Bullpen
As this preview is coming pretty early in the series, let's start by establishing an important ground rule: most bullpens suck. There are maybe 15 reliable relievers out there, and 5 or so of them aren't closing, forcing fantasy players to choose between performance and saves.
The Zekes have decided to focus on saves, with solid second-tier closer Jason Isringhausen fronting a brace of crappy Floridians, Kevin Greggggg and the reanimated corpse of Troy Percival. That choice makes sense--the team will only be competitive if the rotation stays healthy, and if it does stay healthy, it will be good enough to carry the peripherals of a couple of crappy closers. But this pen certainly won't come close to saving the staff if the rotation guys are dinged up again this year.
Prognosis
A fun team to watch, but the mid-level offense, combined with the interest-only mortgaged rotation, leads us to bet on a high second division finish.
Saturday, March 15, 2008
Worst Keeper of 2008
Friday, March 14, 2008
Worst First Round Picks in Wankdorf History
With the draft being a mere 48 hours away, let's take a ride down memory lane for a few minutes and review the wayward ways of our past. With a league that started in 2002, we're now coming up on our 7th draft, which means there have been six opportunities for players to shoot themselves in the foot by fouling up valuable first round picks. What have been the worst of the first rounders? Let's take a look-see:2002: With all due respect to Mike Piazza, Sammy Sosa and Mark Mulder, who at least were useful for a short period of time after this draft, the hands down winner has to be Roberto Alomar. As members of the Original Seven may recall, this year we did "simultaneous drafting", where everyone names a player at once that they wanted. FOUR people wanted Alomar. I need not remind everyone that he joined the Mets that year and proceeded to make Carlos Baerga look saintly.
Bonus bad pick: Val took Bret Boone in the second round. Two minutes after drafting Nomar Garciaparra. If you were trying to find the antithesis of Whitaker-Trammell, you did it.
2003: This will forever be known as the Mo Vaughn Draft. I don't need to belabor the details.
2004: My efforts to find a draft results sheet have resulted in nothing; however, I distinctly remember Ironhead taking Vincente Padilla in the first round, two picks before Jake and I took Ben Sheets and David Ortiz, respectively. I think Padilla was cut before Mother's Day.2005: For reasons that we're still trying to decipher, our beloved commish decided to lead off his draft day by taking Jason Giambi, who had already had a staph infection and showed up to spring training looking deflated. God, I miss the good ol' days of rampant HGH abuse.
2006: Our former leaguemate Michael decided to use his 4th pick on Jason Schmidt and an HMO with Oxford Medical. This wasn't epic bad, but went a long was to explaining why his team never rose above 6th place.
Bonus bad pick: Jon took Placido Polanco to lead off the second round. That was dumb.
2007: It's only one year out, but I think it's safe to say the fact that B.J. Ryan pitched exactly 4 1/3 innings forM**e last year makes him the worst player on this list. Which is saying something: the bottom of last year's draft included Hideki Matsui's cranky legs, Troy Glaus' strained groin and the immortal Dick Harden. Still, at least those teams didn't lose their owners.The scary part? We could draft 9 guys in the first round this year who would be worse than any of these picks and all of the picks would be defensible at the time. So buckle down for the crapfest known as the '08 draft kids, it's gonna be rough.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
(At Least) Three Cheers for Cause and Effect
However, you'd think that spring training would be another story. After all, medical science has long known that watching the last four innings of a spring game while sober can be damaging to your health and spirit. But the Yankees appear to have carried the beer ban with them to Florida. How else to explain this?
That's Yankee designated lumberer Shelly Duncan introducing himself to Aki Iwamura's boys in a spring training game earlier today. The gesture prompted a bench-clearing brawl highlighted by Jonny Gomes's decision to demonstrate unusually sure hands (for him) by charging in from the outfield to tackle Duncan
You'd have to assume that if Duncan, Gomes, and the rest of the players known that a cold one or five awaited them in the clubhouse, they would have skipped the histrionics, played out the string, and contented themselves with making the rookies do keg stands. Instead there was a fight that served no purpose for anybody.
Indeed, although the peanut gallery over at NYY Fans thought that the fight showed good heart, sass, gumption, etc. on the Yankees' part, all it really did is set the stage for a season-long beanball festival of the sort that Tampa and Boston used to engage during the Pedro Era. And that's bad news for New York--any time a team has the more talented roster (and despite Tampa's improvements, New York still has the better lineup), it has more to lose by engaging in a beanball war. The better team has the better players at risk, and more to lose by dropping a game or two that it might otherwise have won.
So, Hank, wise up and bring back the beer. In fact, the next time the Yanks and Rays play a spring training game, pony up the money to put a keg at each base. The fans will almost certainly get their money's worth, and you just might save your self a Derek Jeter broken hand somewhere down the road.
Monday, March 10, 2008
Much Ado About Pyro
To date, we've seen exactly 4 horses that have looked impressive on the road to the Kentucky Derby:(1) Big Brown, the horribly named steed who trounced an off-the-turf allowance field to beat some overmatched dirt foes and run his record to 2-for-2. I think he's a world of talent, but he'll be making his third and final start before the Derby in the Florida Derby, and history says that it's just folly to bet a horse in the Derby off 3 races.
(2) War Pass, the 2-year-old champ, who cruised in his return this year against a bunch of three-legged nags, and is brutally fast but brutally underbred to hit the distance.
(3) Colonel John, who ran painfully slow on a synthetic surface in California last month.
(4) Pyro, who's the main reason for this essay. A well-bred son of Pulpit, Pyro won his inaugural start last year, then finished 3rd in an allowance race (won by War Pass) when he bobbled coming out of the gate. He was sent off at an absurd 33-1 in the Champagne Stakes, where he ran a hard charging 2nd to War Pass, and then ran 2nd again to War Pass in the BC Juvenile, though he never remotely threatened the winner.
This year, Pyro's had a pair of victories in Louisiana, his out-of-the-clouds win in the Risen Star, and his tough but well-earned victory in Saturday's Louisiana Derby. (Links are to videos of the races.) And they're both visually quite impressive. There's just two enormous problems with both of those races:
--Pyro has yet to beat a horse of consequence. This is sort of a self-fulfilling problem, as in a year where nobody's looked great, you obviously can't beat great looking horses, but in the Risen Star, there were precisely zero horses that are serious Derby contenders (sorry, fans of Blackberry Road). In the LA Derby, both Tale of Ekati and Majestic Warrior were coming off long layoffs and did nothing, and J Be K was awful. The rest of the field stunk.
--More importantly, Pyro's running times are slow. Indeed, on both days, he ran the same distance as a good 3-year old filly, and ran slower than the winner of the gal's race both times. You can debate that the slow pace in either race was a contributing factor, but the fact he hasn't hit a 100 Gowanus Speed Figure this year is damning.
What to make of this? Steve Crist has rightly compared him to Scat Daddy, a horse that I noted last year plateaued badly in speed figures, and was nowhere to be found on Derby Day. The problem is that there are no real appealing options at this point in the Derby hunt, unless you want to get on the bandwagon of the breeding-deprived War Pass or the upside of Big Brown.
My early prediction? We may be looking at a Derby like 2004, where War Pass (much like Smarty Jones) simply wins a lackluster affair by virtue of his natural speed where none of the other horses have the talent to keep up with him for 9 furlongs, and he can eke out the final 220 yards. That may win the Derby and the Preakness. But come Belmont time, look for a distance-bred steed like Tale of Ekati, Visionaire or the stout filly Country Star to take him down, much like Birdstone in 2004.
Mock Draft 2008, Part Deux
13. 54° 40' or Fight!: Rafael Soriano, RP, Atlanta Braves.
Aight, I have no idea whose idea this was, but I have minimal interest in taking a 3rd-tier closer from my Mets' archrivals when I'm in a rebuilding year. So let's call this one improbable. (El Angelo)
Trade chit. Book it. (Teddy)
14. Presidential Timber: Lawrence "Chipper" "Fuckface" Jones, 3B, Atlanta Braves.
Eat my anus, Larry. (El Angelo)
Ol' Fuckface had himself a fantastic season last year; this is pretty good value, at least for this year. Not really the kind of young talent the franchise might want to build around, but sometimes not sucking is its own reward. (Teddy)
15. Frank the Tank: Brett Myers, SP, Philadelphia Phillies.
Clearly, he only dropped this far because of the domestic abuse charges. (El Angelo)
Confucious say, in order to outfox a batter, you must know how to think like a batterer. It was all just an extended visualization exercise. (Teddy)
16. The Spam Avengers: Jim Thome, DH, Chicago White Sox.
Thumper without a back. I suppose that makes him the baseball equivalent of Fred Couples, minus the multiple messy divorces and reputation for being a choke artist. (El Angelo)
17. Wu Tang Financial: Trevor Hoffman, RP, San Diego Padres.
High time for a closer, and this is a squad who likes his players grizzled and seasoned. Order him up some Hell's Bells. (El Angelo)
I predict Hoffman will be this year's winner of the Keith Foulke Memorial Award, given annually to the pitcher whose fastball has finally declined to the point where it is indistinguishable from his change-up. Things tend to get ugly pretty quickly for the award's recipients. (Teddy)
18. The Fighting Isaiahs: Kosuke Fukudome, OF, Chicago Cubs.
I, for one, would like to say "Welcome" to the Fukudome. (Teddy)
19. Evil Empire: Pedro Martinez, SP, New York Mets.
Huge high risk/high reward pick. I like Pedro to give you 165 top-shelf innings this year, which is more than I can say for at least 1-2 other pitchers that'll be taken around now. (El Angelo)
I think we're all secretly hoping that Pedro slips further than this, but if you're more focused on rate stats than counting stats, he's not a bad choice here. (Teddy)
20. Frank the Tank: Manny Corpas, RP, Colorado Rockies.
Ladies and gents, the run on closers continues! (El Angelo)
This pick is both (1) surprisingly defensible and (2) deeply depressing at this point in the draft. But I guess that's just how things go in this league--hell, we had Takashi Saito going in this slot last year. Plus ca change, etc.
21. Frank the Tank: Kelvim Escobar, SP, Los Angeles Angels.
He's out for now, but this is a keeper league. Had he been healthy, he would have been kept or gone a round earlier. (El Angelo)
Agreed, though if this one of the 6-8 best starters available in his year's draft, we're all in trouble. (Teddy)
22. Christmas Critters: Ian Kinsler, 2B, Texas Rangers.
The second 2B taken in what's a surprisingly deep position. He's probably the best of the rest, but I'm not sure the gap is large enough to warrant this early taking. (El Angelo)
This franchise annoyingly always manages to land a player that is both young and good, and it looks like they'll do it again. We need some good, old-fashioned collusion around here, dammit. (Teddy)
23. Le Dupont Torkies: Ian Snell, SP, Pittsburgh Pirates.
In keeping with the collection of starters, the 2006 champs go with a young hurler from Pitt, who should help in K's, ERA, and WHIP. If he helps in wins, something's gone hideously astray for the remainder of the NL Central. (El Angelo)
24. Le Dupont Torkies: Joakim Soria, RP, Kansas City Royals.
A fitting way to end a hideous second round: with the nominal KC closer. I am scared to see what gets picked at the close of the 7th round. (El Angelo)
Given how unbelievable this pick looks, I'm going to say that someone will end up re-picking Soria in the 7th. (Teddy)
Mock Draft 2008, Part I
This represents a new nadir for the GRBG: not only are we writing about fake teams, we're writing about a fake draft involving those fake teams. We're pretty well through the meta-looking glass here. For those unfamiliar with the league, (a) why are you reading this?, but (b) know that this is a keeper league, meaning that in any given year there will be a limited pool of players available to be drafted, so that this mock will differ significantly from the average single-season league draft.
Finally, many thanks to our fearless leader and league commish Proud Papa Andy for help with the mock and commentaries. (Teddy)
Yes, I'm doing this thing, too. 'Cause I've got nothing better to do right now. (Andy)
1. Presidential Timber: Roy Oswalt, SP, Houston Astros.
There are four potentially elite starting pitchers in the draft (Oswalt, Roy Halladay, Scott Kazmir, and King Felix), though I don't know if any two people would rank the four in exactly the same way. We flipped a coin and landed on Oswalt, as he is still on the younger side, but unlike Felix and Kazmir, is also already through the injury nexus. Your mileage may vary, especially if you're a Blue Jays fan . . . (Teddy)
Well, since there are only 48 possible combinations for those guys to be ranked, I'm sure in a room of 50 you'd get 2 identical opinions. Still, Oswalt's by far the safest pick here, and also the shortest. (El Angelo)
Oswalt will be shipped in a wooden box labelled "Fragile" on the side. When Corey opens it in front of his wife and kids, he will be heard to say, "Fra-gee-lay -- must be Italian." (Andy)
2. 54°40' or Fight!: Scott Kazmir, SP, Tampa Bay Rays.
Now that Fitty-Fo-Fotie has traded Josh Beckett away, he needs to find another more cost-controlled ace to replace him. While Felix would be a defensible pick here, Kazmir finished up near the top of the league in K's last season, giving him the tiebreaker. He should also benefit from improved Tampa Bay defense this season. Also, if our league is to properly reflect reality, Kazmir needs to spend a few years marooned on a hopeless team. Ahem. (Teddy)
If our league is to reflect reality, I would trade away Kazmir for the modern day Victor Zambrano. No, I'm not bitter. (El Angelo)
3. grundleman's bond: Travis Hafner, DH, Cleveland Indians.
It's debatable who the best hitter is that's available, but I have to think it's the Hafner hitting machine, his down 2007 aside. The real negative on him is that he only qualifies as DH, but it's somewhat a minor quibble for having a stud hitter. (El Angelo)
Predicting what Sahil will do at the draft is quite a stretch for Angelo. In other news, Angelo will be drafting for Sahil. Is this the right guy for Big Brown? Feels more like he should be taking Granderson here, since the Healer seems unlikely to compete this year. But that's just me... (Andy)
4. The Spam Avengers: Felix Hernandez, SP, Seattle Mariners.
With the offense mostly taken care of through keepers, TSA takes a run at the (still) only 21 y/o potential ace. Between Felix, Eric Bedard, and Ichiro!, TSA finds itself long on Seattle Mariners. Ask the guys over at USS Mariner how that's been working out for them, recently. (Teddy)
Have we determined whether the Ewing Theory works in fantasy sports too? The real life Mariners won 116 games after they jettisoned the Eunuch, A-Rod and Griffey, and had their staff lead by Paul Abbott. I query whether there's a similar ratio of fantasy wins versus lack of star Mariners. (El Angelo)
I didn't even know there was still a team in Seattle. Doesn't it rain there all the time? I think the year they won 116 games, it was because they built a big boat while all the other teams drowned. (Andy)
5. Wu Tang Financial: Curtis Granderson, OF, Detroit Tigers.
Nice to see WTF back in the league; this team's mascot is significantly more intimidating than last year's model, christened as it was after a fat golfer. With some uncertainty in the outfield, we have WTF reaching up for Granderson, who put up a fine breakout season last year. If he ever learns to hit lefties, he'll be a stud. If not, well . . . less so. (Teddy)
Like the Wu-Tang Clan, Jon's team ain't nuttin' to fuck with. That said, they really could use some more reliable hitters. That said, the best hitters out there seem to be bad fits for Jon. It'll be interesting to see what he does here. It'll probably involve an over-the-hill, big, slow, slugger-type. Screams for Thome. (Andy)
6. The Fighting Isaiahs: Brian Roberts, 2B, Baltimore Orioles.
Over the years, the Isaiahs have been refusing to trade Roberts for anything less than A-Rod, Johan Santana, and Ted Williams' frozen head. Love is a many-splendored thing, and it's lovely to see the two reunited again this year. (Teddy)
The crop of available 2B's is the one area that's actually deep in this league, but Roberts shines above the Ruben Gotays of the world. Can't argue with the HGH injections and 30+ steals you get with him. (El Angelo)
What to do, Jake?!? If both Roberts and Manny are available, Jake's head is going to explode. If Roberts is available, I just can't see him getting past Jake. (Andy)
7. Evil Empire: Derek Jeter, SS, New York Yankees.
Here's a frightening thought: if Jeter slips by here, Teddy, Mr. BoSox, may have to consider taking him. How's that gonna feel, Teddy Boy? (El Angelo)
I formally repealed my no-Yankees rule after the Sox won in '04, but breaking camp with Jeter, Mariano Rivera and Phil Hughes could lead to a distressingly complex love-hate relationship with YES network telecasts this season. (Teddy)
Here's the thing - clutch hitting isn't worth anything extra in fantasy. Jeter's getting old and losing steps. I think Will's got better options, but if he's following his Yahoo printouts, he won't let Jeter fall past him.
8. Decatur Commies: Manny Ramirez, OF, Boston Red Sox.
Well, this at least keeps the team alive. They need power hitting like a hole in the head, but he's still such a good player, worst case is you can think about flipping him to an out of it team in May for steals. (El Angelo)
Interesting. Manny would put my OBP rate into a safe enough place where I could take a speed-only guy later if need be. Juan, how are the hammies feeling? (Teddy)
9. Decatur Commies: Derrek Lee, 1B, Chicago Cubs.
By far the best 1B in the draft. Yes, I'm laughing at you, Conor Jackson. (El Angelo)
Apparently, I'm operating under the assumption that the first team to 300 HRs wins the league. (Teddy)
Chad's going to lose the rest of his hair if Granderson and Roberts are off the board when he picks back-to-back here. Neither of these picks really makes sense for him, but he can't take a steals guy this early. Seriously, people -- he's about to get married. Throw the guy a bone! (Andy)
10. Frank the Tank: Roy Halladay, SP, Toronto Blue Jays.
The Other Roy is a steal at the 10-slot, you could argue he could go first overall. There's some injury risks with him and the fact he has 10 starts against the power lineups of the Yanx, Sawx and Rays, but still, can't argue with his talent. (El Angelo)
It's no secret that I'm going to be looking for pitching. Roy Halladay strikes out about 6 guys a year, but his ERA/WHIP may compel me to take him. Still, Shields will bring a lot of Ks. This will be a tough pick if things end up this way. (Andy)
11. Le Dupont Torkies: James Shields, SP, Tampa Bay Rays.
This fits right in the mold of the guy that drafted Rich Hill early last year and starts the year with 1 starter. (El Angelo)
Wait, do the Torkies drink the Baseball Prospectus Kool-Aid as well? Man, that's pretty well everyone at this point. Anyway, I support this pick, as the higher Shields goes, the more likely it is that his owner will get frustrated with his performance and begin referring to him as Panty Shields. We're in need of a new go-to insulting nickname around here, and that would go a long way towards helping the cause. (Teddy)
12. It's Enrico Pallazzo: Andruw Jones, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers.
The fact that he's a Dodger broke the tie between him, Kosuke Fukudome, and Moises Alou's hernia. (El Angelo)
The extra "W" in Andruw is for "What the fuck is he doing getting drafted this high?"
I could swear Andruw Jones has been in the league since the Jetsons were on. He's gotta be older than McCain. (Andy)
Friday, March 7, 2008
Poll & Contest: The Worst Keeper of 2008
We at the Gazette are nothing if not thorough in our dissection of minutia and insignificant details. So while we laud good moves when we see them, it's time to call someone out for a new award: the Worst Keeper of the Year. We're going to retroactively give the 2007 version of this award to Chris Ianetta, who was last seen washing cars in Fort Collins, Colorado.A few qualifiers before we delve into the nominees:
1. The player's keeper status counts. There's nothing wrong with keeping someone like Eric Byrnes off last year if he costs you one slot. If he costs you three slots, you're getting called out.
2. Whether or not someone got kept does not have to be indicative of their expected performance in the upcoming season. For this reason, guys like Clay Buchholz, Philip Hughes and Joba Chamberlain are exempt, because they'd obviously be very high picks for this season, even if their performance may suck in '08.
3. Your team's roster construction counts. If you kept three 2B's even if they're all very good, you fucked up.
On to the nominees, in alphabetical order....
Jacoby Ellsbury, Frank the Tank
Why doesn't he get the same treatment as Hughes and Buchholz? Simple: he's starting the year in AAA and isn't on the prospect list. There's no indication if and when he'll be up and if he'll even get 400 PAs this year. Presumably he was kept as trade bait. Query who will bite.
Matt Garza, 54' 40" or Fight!
Almost indisputably the worst starting pitcher kept, he lacks the hype or upside of a Joba.
Torii Hunter, Evil Empire
A fringe outfielder on the decline takes his place in a new park, despite his speed and power being on the wane. Have to think there are two dozen OFs that will produce similar numbers this year.
Francisco Liriano, The Fighting Isaiahs
Last we saw this guy, he was grimacing in pain in August 2006 and Frank Jobe was running after him with a drawn needle. That's a tough way to use up a slot.
John Maine, grundleman's bond
Even Met fans don't get excited about him, and he's been fairly solid. He's a modern day Rick Reed, minus the picket-line crossing and hatred from Bobby Valentine. Actually scratch the last part: Bobby V hates everyone.
Jhonny Peralta, grundleman's bond
Waiver wire bait to trade bait to keeper material, off a bad season. He's an interesting bounce-back candidate. He's a hideous shortstop keeper.
Rickie Weeks, Presidential Timber
A phenom at 2B that everyone was high on last year, he spent a third of the season in the minors. For a position that's surprisingly deep if uninteresting, this may define stretch, especially as he becomes +1 expensive in 2009.
Chris Young (SP), Wu Tang Financial
We save for the last one the Princeton Pitcher, who automatically gets a thumbs down in my eye because he's a Tiger, but the real reason for his inclusion here is that he takes up two spots. He's not a bad pitcher, and he's arguably more useful than either Zambrano or Vazquez in Petco Park. But for two spots? A bit steep.
So, I encourage you to vote on the poll at the right and to comment below. Results are final on next Saturday night.
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
You'll Get Nothing And Like It
The general press reaction to these complaints is pretty well encapsulated by King Kaufman's remark that:
(Link to article.) I think the basic thrust of Kaufman's argument, that these guys need to suck it up and stay quiet about their renewals, is correct, but just about everything else in the quote above is off base.Fielder, Hamels and any other young ballplayer who doesn't like the terms of his renewed contract should remind himself that he's operating under a system that was arrived at in collective bargaining, and it's a system that lavishly rewards those who make it through three years. It isn't exactly chicken feed in the first three, either. . . . Any young gun who doesn't like the bargain that was struck should take it up with the union, but of course they all stop complaining about the system once it starts working in their favor in Year 4.
For starters, none of the specific players mentioned above participated in the collective bargaining that led to the creation or ratification of the current system. And, perhaps more importantly, rookie players in general were not really represented in that bargaining.
After all, the system was collectively "bargained" for by two groups with strong incentives to lessen the amount of money given to rookie players: the owners, who want to give players as little money as possible, and the union, whose team representatives are all experienced veterans who want to direct as much of the incoming money as possible to experienced veterans. At no point have rookies or minor leaguers had a real voice at the table. The result, unsurprisingly, was one in which the veterans obtained the right to be paid essentially whatever they can get, in return for allowing the owners a period of indentured servitude for rookie players.
Also, the fact that the league minimum salary is a lot higher than the average ditch-digger's salary also doesn't really matter. The rookies know that they are one ligament tear away--and maybe even one bad slump away--from being kept off the gravy train and left to fend for themselves. For a kid drafted right out of high school who thinks Sartre is a company that makes designer baseball caps, that might not be a particularly appealing option.
But, despite all of the above, there's no getting around the idea that these guys need to put a sock in it. Not because their complaints aren't valid as such, but because they represent the single most important market inefficiency that keeps the baseball rich from getting even richer. Without the ability to construct a team based around cheap, cost-specific young players, smaller market teams would be even harder-pressed to build a competitive roster, If every player costs exactly as much as he is worth, barring front-office idiocy of a Steinbrennerian order, the richest teams are going to be at a massive advantage.
So, sorry, guys. Hang in there for another year or two, and you'll be set. And in the meantime, just make the Annies pay for drinks to save some cash.
Monday, March 3, 2008
Jon Heyman's Balderdash, Take Two
I liked where Prince Fielder said he "respected the Brewers scale.'' Fielder was talking about pay scale, but still, I never expected Fielder to say anything nice about a scale. Anyway, I do agree with him that $670,000 is awfully cheap when you consider Ryan Howard was renewed at $900,00 by the Phillies the year before. The Brewers admitted they'd have paid more if Fielder won MVP, as if third in the final voting was his fault (Jimmy Rollins and Matt Holliday finished one and two because their teams made it to October, not because they outplayed Fielder).For starters, it's wholly unclear how the hell you could argue that Fielder was a better MVP candidate than Albert Pujols, a player at the exact same position who had better numbers for the entire year and is leaps and bounds a better fielder than Sir Prince. Hell, it's arguable that Ryan Howard was better than Fielder. And Pujols' team didn't make the playoffs either, so if you're going to harp on the idea that not making the playoffs is fatal to an MVP candidacy, then aren't they both in the same boat? (Unless we're now grading for how far out you finished, at which point I just fucking give up.)
But let's return to the more fun quote therein: "as if third in the final voting was his fault". Explicitly, Messr. Heyman acknowledges that it's not one person's doing to make the playoffs, and that 24+ other players contribute to the entirety of making the postseason, and that you can only judge a player on what he's done. Hallelujah! Praise the lord! He's seen the light!Except it's directly contrary to his reasoning for voting for Jimmy Rollins, which includes the nebulous bullshit of "leadership" and reliance on his teammates to beat out Fielder, et.al. This makes zero sense. Jon, just admit what's plain and obvious here: you voted for the best storyline, which is Rollins and the Phillies overtaking the choking Mets. And that's fine for voting for best story. It's utter horseshit for the MVP vote.
And people wonder why our generation hates the mainstream media.
I'm sorry, the last thing I want to do is make this site into a FJM clone. But in the words of Walter Sobchack, my buddies did not die face down in the muck so this baloney can get written.
More on our inane league in the coming days.
Transactions Analysis: Pre-Draft 2008
After five-plus months of dicking around and dozens of posts with little or no relevance to this league, or baseball in general (but some fantastic insights on the Super Bowl, the Breeders Cup and Ivy League hoops), we bring you back to our bread and butter. That's right folks, it's TA time! We're now in Year Five of these things (are we really, Teddy?) and have recycled the Ryan "Cum" Dempster jokes to the point where there are macros in our computers to make them, though thankfully, he's about to return to closer status, which will just make it so much tastier. Still, there's always a time, place and forum for unwanted yet much-warranted criticism of your fellow owners and writers, including self-flagellation for the inevitable pickup of Ryan Shealy. Ready for a new year, co-captain? (El Angelo)
Pumped and jacked. The other posts on this site require thought; these require only mockery of friends, acquaintances, and Pat Neshek. Hopefully, our new offseason throwing program on this blog has our arms ready to go right from the starting bell this year, though, as always, avoiding injury is a primary concern at this time of year. You can't be insightful while trying to write through a tweaked oblique. (Teddy)
54° 40' or Fight!
- Traded Ryan Braun, OF, Milwaukee to Decatur Commies for Josh Beckett, SP, Boston. [2/13]
- Traded the 25th pick in the 2008 draft to Le Dupont Torkies for Rich Hill, SP, Chicago (NL) and the 71st pick in the 2008 draft. [2/18]
For the record, I picked this team name not only because it's one of my favorite historical references and movements, but because the use of numbers allows my crappy 2008 edition to come first in all TA's and get the madness out of the way. (I suppose you could argue that it should be under "F", but I scoff at your alternative collation methods.)Regardless, what we've got here is swapping out a redundancy for an ace--the squad already was banking its future on Alex Gordon to man the corner spot, making Ryan Braun's potent bat somewhat expendable. To say the least, the efficacy and success of this trade depends on Gordon's maturation this year, but even that's somewhat offset by the fact that Braun's 3B eligibility is over after this year. Josh Beckett does eat up an extra keeper slot, which is a nuisance, but less so when your team's potential 12th keeper is Michael Bourn or Jonathan Broxton.
The other trade is a straight-up tradedown out of the 3rd round to the 6th round to pick up a potential young stud; given my lack of enthusiasm for the draft market after the first 20 or so picks, I felt it was a reasonable gamble. (El Angelo)
If you can maintain your enthusiasm for this draft class 20 picks deep, I salute you. We might be facing the first fantasy draft ever in which teams pass so that they don't have to admit to having drafted Jeff Francis in the second round. (Teddy)
Decatur Commies
- Traded Josh Beckett, SP, Boston to of 54° 40' or Fight! for Ryan Braun, 3B, Milwaukee. [2/13]
You'd think that I'd be pretty enthusiastic about this trade, given that I, you know, made it, but that's no longer the case. Don't get me wrong, I'm still excited about Braun, and very much dig my team's power core of Braun, Adam Dunn, and Victor Martinez. But the trade was premised on the idea that I'd be better off with Braun and A.J. Burnett than I would keeping Beckett and losing that extra keeper slot.
However, that assumed I'd also have Kelvim Escobar around; now that he's hurt, everyone else in the rotation moves up one, meaning the extra keeper slot now gets used on Phil Hughes. That's a pretty big drop in certainty right there. Of course, if Hughes lives up to the advance billing he was getting last year, I'll look like a genius. (Teddy)
Le Dupont Torkies
- Traded Rich Hill, SP, Chicago and the 71st pick in the 2008 draft to of 54° 40' or Fight! for the 25th pick in the 2008 draft. [2/18]
Now, there's a pair of ways to look at this trade. The first one is that trading up 46 slots is never a bad idea, especially when you haven't given up a player that was a real "keeper" for your team, and in essence you've gotten something for nothing. But I respectfully don't buy that point of view---Hill's eminently a better keeper than Bobby Abreu, and the third round, I think, is going to have either prospects going to early or veterans who are fungible with guys available 4 rounds later. So while there's obviously nothing wrong with trading up in the draft, the real query is whether you should have just kept Hill instead. I say yes, which isn't surprising given that I dealt for him. (El Angelo)The other way to go might have been to keep both Abreu and Hill, cut Xia-Yuan Figgins, and try to find some steals in the draft. That said, it's traditionally been easier to find arms late in the draft than it has to find speed and OBP, so I can understand why the Torkies went this route. (Teddy)
More pre-draft content coming later this week, as soon as we finish absorbing the idea that (1) we live in a world where people keep the backup center fielder for the Red Sox and (2) keeping him might even be the proper play.

